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Comment by lmeyerov

4 years ago

It's about pulling the ladder out from under you, so you grow with the commodity and control risk of upstarts. It's interesting to compare something like how aws/azure/gcp (IaaS and up) commoditize snowflake/databricks (data PaaS and up):

* free complement: drive to zero so you go up, and competitors relatively weak individually. A $T corp like aws doesn't really care if any individual sw vendor (OSS, ...) gets big b/c they're still small wrt aws's offerings. The few emerging big winners like snowflake/databricks makes aws more useful to customers and helps the on-prem -> cloud shift: aws and friends are focused on 30%+ quarterly growth, which is nuts at their scale. They can likewise slowly decrease the ISV margin at their leisure for the non-oss parts, and for now use them to keep juicing the growth.

* pricey moat: the hyperscalers keep reinvesting monopoly-margin-driven profits to be even more untouchable. $T corp building their own chips, HA, etc., layers. It's tough for a YC startup to decide to compete w/ AWS head-on - hw/sw codesign takes a lot of time & $, and getting even just sw would be hard. it took huge amounts of VC $ for snowflake/databricks to get where they are, and yet, it still probably doesn't make sense for them to compete w/ AWS/gcp/az via custom hw etc. (TPUs ..), vs. riding commodity hpc (e.g., databricks achieving its AI vision by reselling GPU hw/sw controlled by Nvidia+Google, unlike their past control of Spark). IBM buying redhat gives a sense of how hard it is to buy in at this point.