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Comment by marginalia_nu

2 years ago

Some of these graphs are more convincing than others, this in particular seems to be fairly creative use of statistics.

https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_p...

4 comments

marginalia_nu

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derbOac  2 years ago

I think their paper they linked in the blog post is a bit like that too, maybe even more so, although I found both interesting.

I do agree some of the trends are more convincing than others, although they're generally consistent with the overall direction the author is suggesting.

nonameiguess  2 years ago

It's notable that the lower error bar for the 1920s and the upper error bar for the 2020s only differ by about 2%. Aside from the fact the plot sure looks like random noise, even the trend line is consistent with no change.

zeroonetwothree  2 years ago

I am a bit suspicious because the specific metric used for each type of media is different. That suggests some amount of cherry-picking.