← Back to context

Comment by doctorpangloss

14 days ago

> Banning DJI drones in the US lets you build a factory in the US that can eventually get costs down.

I anticipate exactly zero automated drone factories.

"automated factory" is somewhat redundant, no?

The point is that most people who will buy a $700 Chinese drone will buy a $1000 US drone if that's all they can get.

I am of the opinion that the US made a very serious mistake by opening up tariff-free trade with countries which do not have comparable labor and environmental safety laws. The Feds should have come up with reasonable estimates of what foreign manufacturing was saving by cheating that way, and charged them that amount of money to sell products in the US. Factories which wanted to avoid those tariffs could pay for, and submit to, an independent audit of their factories.

Instead we decided that it was fine for US manufacturing to compete on an "even" basis with nations who are fine with laborers losing fingers and/or getting paid slave wages, and manufacturers dumping their waste stream into a nearby river. We've paid a severe price for that misguided egalitarianism, and it's time to change course.

  • > US made a very serious mistake by

    Was it a mistake if the goal was to get cheaper products at the expense of foreigners losing fingers?

    I agree it is myopic policy for the long term, but certainly many voters are happy to push safety problems somewhere else.

  • >The point is that most people who will buy a $700 Chinese drone will buy a $1000 US drone if that's all they can get.

    In the consumer market, if the $1000 drone has a significantly worse user experience then people just won't buy it. Before DJI the consumer drone market was much smaller; by creating a cheap, high-quality product DJI caused more people to purchase drones, growing the market. If there's no competitive alternative the market will just shrink again; consumer drones aren't a necessity.

    • By all reports, Skydio drones offer an excellent user experience.

      The DJI Mini 3 Prop is currently $899, and Skydio can't manufacture something like that in the US, and sell it for that amount of money. But I bet they could make something comparable at a sale price of $1100-1300.

      Allowing Communists to dump goods in our market is optional. I don't know that I support a ban on DJI products, I have a Mini 2: I like drones, but not enough to drop a couple grand on a Skydio 2 (and note that they exited the consumer market, presumably because of the aforementioned price dumping making it infeasible to compete). I would be pissed off if it was permanently grounded. But at minimum I support tariffs which are heavy enough to give domestic industry a chance to compete on an even footing.

      And given the evident relationship between drone technology and national security, I could be persuaded that a full ban is in the national interest. Perhaps (this is only sort of a joke) the NSA could release a full open-source jailbreak of every DJI product, and publish an API for the cloud components which any American compute provider could then offer.

      Then block their servers. Let 'em know that we'll let them back in the country when Facebook can operate in China, and not before.

      2 replies →

  • > The point is that most people who will buy a $700 Chinese drone will buy a $1000 US drone if that's all they can get.

    the time when the US could actually decide this sort of thing at close to planet scale is long gone. if you ban those devices, there will be countless other nations (including close friends of the US) where you will be able to buy them no problem.

I don't see why. Drones are pretty simple manufacturing wise. The issue at scale is the supply chain of cheap motors, cheap control boards, and cheap batteries.

  • Sure, but you won't be allowed to buy one for less than the cost of a small car.

    • which, the factory that builds drones or the drones themselves?

      What would stop someone from building their own cargo container sized drone factory that takes parts like motors, pcbs, batteries in one end and spits out finished drones on the other?